English Premiership Previews: Round 24 Saturday matches
Enjoy our previews for English Premier League...
Wolves v Liverpool (1245 GMT)
No prizes for originality, but Liverpool simply have to be opposed in this one. Wolves are 12/5 to take the three points, and that looks more than fair for a side with five wins from 11 home games - including victories over Chelsea and Manchester City - against a side with eight defeats on the road already this season and the second-worst away record in the division. The fans may be happier now Roy Hodgson's been replaced by Anfield legend Kenny Dalglish, but so far there's little on-field evidence for an upturn in fortunes. Liverpool were tepid in an FA Cup exit against a Manchester United side that never got out of second gear and then went down at Blackpool before scrambling to a 2-2 draw against local rivals Everton. Steven Gerrard is still suspended, while Wolves come into this one on the back of a confidence-boosting 5-0 win over Doncaster in their FA Cup replay.
Verdict: Wolves 2 Liverpool 1
Arsenal v Wigan
Arsenal will be hoping to quickly forget the 2-2 draw at Wigan on December 29 when they host the Latics in this clash. The Gunners have been inconsistent in cup action recently but they are unbeaten in the Premier League since the end of November and look well set for a sustained title tilt. However, the best price of 1/4 for a Gunners win doesn't offer any value with defeats against West Brom and Newcastle at the Emirates Stadium this season. Boss Arsene Wenger has been rotating his squad in recent weeks so that makes player markets tough to call but we are tempted by the 21/20 with Victor Chandler for Robin van Persie to score anytime. That is worth an interest with the Dutchman rested for the majority of the midweek FA Cup victory over Leeds before he stepped off the bench late on to bag a goal. He also scored twice in the win at West Ham last weekend.
Verdict: Arsenal 3 Wigan 0
Blackpool v Sunderland
It's been a tough week for Sunderland. After snatching a last-gasp draw with bitter rivals Newcastle news started to emerge that Darren Bent might not be entirely content with life at the Stadium of Light and, sure enough, days later he completed an £18million move to Aston Villa. Then Steve Bruce's unhappiness at the loss of his talisman coupled with some Twitter rumours and Avram Grant's apparent stay of execution at Upton Park saw the Sunderland boss' price to be next man out of a job plummet from 66/1 to 6/4. Maybe Sunderland will just be relieved to get back on the pitch and away from rumours and headlines. But they can't have had ideal preparation, and it's hard to overstate Bent's importance to their cause despite the recent good form of Asamoah Gyan and Danny Welbeck. Over-achieving Blackpool - who have won three and drawn one of their last five at home, and beat Sunderland at the Stadium of Light last month - don't look like ideal opponents to face after such a turbulent week. Boylesports' 9/5 on a home win - as short as 6/4 elsewhere - looks generous.
Verdict: Blackpool 2 Sunderland 0
Everton v West Ham
Everton's recent form looks solid enough with just one defeat in the last seven, but a glance at the results shows their best work has come away from Goodison Park where they have won just one of their last five. That makes them tough to back at long odds-on here against relegation battlers West Ham, whose own mini-revival has been snuffed out by back-to-back heavy defeats to Newcastle and Arsenal. This looks one to avoid from a punting perspective.
Verdict: Everton 0 West Ham 0
Fulham v Stoke
This looks another trappy one for punters with two unpredictable sides in opposition at Craven Cottage. Stoke have won three and lost three in their last six, while Fulham's record is even more impenetrable: two wins, two draws, two defeats. We've a gut feeling that the visitors might just be overpriced at 11/4 in this one, while you might be interested in Sportingbet's odds-against quote for only one team to score: that would have collected in three of Fulham's last four and five of Stoke's last six.
Verdict: Fulham 0 Stoke 1
Manchester United v Birmingham
Manchester United did us a favour last weekend as we tipped them up for a draw at Tottenham at a tasty 12/5, but even though the stalemate is upward of 5/1 for this one we'll pin our colours to the mast immediately and say we're not even remotely tempted. That's because the United side that steps out at Old Trafford is currently a very different beast to that which travels away as a record of W10 D1 at home and W2 D8 on the road shows. West Brom are the only team to have exited M16 with anything other than zero points this season and, as well as they played, the 2-2 draw was ultimately the result of such a rare howler from Edwin van der Sar we're willing to write that off as a blip. Birmingham certainly aren't in the form to become the first visiting side to triumph at Old Trafford as they've won just one in seven in the league, though that victory at Blackpool did at least break their win duck on the road this season. Unsurprisingly United are big odds-on (1/4 best) but they do make appeal in the win to nil market. They've conceded only seven home goals in 11 league games and this bet would have obliged in no fewer than six of those 11. Though they didn't manage to get the win at White Hart Lane they've kept back-to-back clean sheets against Liverpool (FA Cup) and Spurs and with John O'Shea and Wes Brown both fit again they shouldn't have to replace the suspended Rafael with a badly fading Gary Neville. Birmingham haven't been prolific either at home or away so far this season (21 goals in 21 games) so it's not a giant leap to suggest they'll struggle to break down a resolute back four. Hills go as short as 4/9 on the United win to nil, but Paddy Power float an enticing 5/6. We can't resist.
Verdict: Manchester United 2 Birmingham 0
Newcastle v Tottenham
Predicting a Newcastle home game this season is no easy task. Their overall home record is ordinary, with just four wins to their name. But those wins were all eye-catching, with Aston Villa, Sunderland and West Ham all thrashed handsomely and Liverpool also well beaten. But those impressive results - and a creditable draw with Chelsea - are set against defeats to Blackpool, Blackburn and Stoke and a scrambled draw with Wigan. And Spurs on the road are also an unpredictable beast, highlighted perfectly by the ludicrous north-London derby victory at the Emirates which followed a sound beating at Bolton. If pushed to name a winner, we'd side with the 13/10 visitors, who have lost just one of the last 11, but in truth the outright markets hold little appeal. Instead we'll fall back on an old favourite. Spurs' primary goal threat this season has come from behind the strikers, with Rafael van der Vaart and Gareth Bale each finding the net on 11 occasions in all competitions. But while the layers are now pricing up the Dutchman alongside the strikers in the goalscoring markets, Bale - who has scored six of his goals away from the Lane this season - remains a more tempting proposition at 9/1 first goalscorer and 10/3 anytime. Given the number of goals at St James' Park this season - 36 in 11 games - the latter looks the way to go.
Verdict: Newcastle 1 Tottenham 2
Aston Villa v Man City (1730 GMT)
Worrying times for Aston Villa who, having challenged for a Champions League spot in the last two seasons, find themselves in a proper relegation scrap and sitting above the dropzone only on goals scored. Having gone unbeaten intheir first seven home games of the league season, they've now lost three of the last four at Villa Park to slip into deep trouble ahead of the clash with Manchester City. The urgency of the situation is highlighted by the big-money acquisition of a proven Premier League goalscorer in the shape of Darren Bent. Many have balked at the price paid, but if his goals keep the Villans in the top flight it will be money well spent. They should have little trouble beating the drop, but can Bent make an instant impact against title-chasing Manchester City? Doubtful. Odds-against quotes for a City win here are more than fair given they've won seven of their last 10 Premier League engagements, but for better value back City/City in the HT/FT market at Stan James' 13/5. The bet would've landed in six of City's last seven wins (City have won nine out of nine when leading at half-time this term) while Villa have trailed at the break in five of their last six defeats.
Verdict: Aston Villa 0 Man City 2