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FA Cup Previews: 4th Round

sobota, 29. január 2011 11:35 | Autor: Dr-Bet.com

Enjoy our previews for fourth-round action in Fa Cup!



Saturday


Everton v Chelsea (1230GMT)

Everton have continued their rather erratic form but they will be able to welcome back Phil Jagielka into the centre of defence after missing four matches. They have shipped six goals during that period, including two last weekend against a far-from-rampant West Ham. Holders Chelsea on the other hand seemed to be regaining full confidence with three wins on the trot with no goals conceded. They punished some slipshod Bolton defending with main man Didier Drogba looking stronger and stronger which in turn has inspired those around him. The Toffees do have habit of raising their game against the big sides regardless of form but Carlo Ancelotti's outfit are on a roll currently and appeal at a fraction of odds-against to maintain the winning run.

Verdict: Everton 0 Chelsea 2 

Swansea v Leyton Orient (1250)

Swansea have struggled to marry their consistency in the Championship with a decent cup run in the past couple of years but their record against lower league opposition is pretty formidable and they should be fancied to make light work of Russell Slade's men at the Liberty Stadium. Since August 2009, knockout wins over Barnet, Brighton, Colchester, Peterborough and Tranmere have all been achieved by two clear goals and punters looking for a way to get with the Jacks might wish to take some of the general 13/10 about them minus a goal on the handicap, especially in light of how they dismantled the U's by four goals in the last round. Orient have been bagging goals in abundance of late but the recent 5-0 humiliation at Brighton is evidence of how they can crumble when up against vastly superior opposition and Brendan Rodgers' men should ease home with something to spare.

Verdict: Swansea 3 Leyton Orient 1

Aston Villa v Blackburn (1300)

These two have found some form in recent weeks and Villa's resurgence sees them unbeaten in four matches in all competitions. The last two have been victories and Gerard Houllier has praised his players for their improved mental approach against both Manchester City and away at Wigan. Steve Kean's appointment at Blackburn is looking increasingly shrewd and they have played some nice football to win three of their last four. Young Junior Hoilett has really caught the eye as well and is starting to thrive with a run of games under his belt. It is still at bit early to be backing Villa at odds-on so the visitors are perhaps a little overpriced at 7/2 to wrap this up on the day. But the hosts are made of sterner stuff at the moment and there could be some mileage in this going to a replay at 5/2 with bet365.

Verdict: Aston Villa 1 Blackburn 1 

Birmingham v Coventry (1500)

Birmingham are on a high right now after reaching their first Wembley final for 55 years in midweek. They had to go to extra-time to get the better of West Ham in the second leg of their Carling Cup semi-final, though, and that has to be borne in mind when weighing up our options for this one. There's two ways of looking at it. One - the exhilaration of reaching a major final will give them added determination to get as close to repeating the feat as they can in the FA Cup and they'll be more fired up than ever. Two - they'll be weary after going the full 120 minutes and will struggle to lift themselves again less than three days later for a game against a mid-table Championship outfit. Given it's their first taste of Wembley for so long I have to say I've just got an inkling they may struggle in this one and certainly wouldn't advise a mortgage job at 8/11. And given that, I'd love to make a case for the 6/5 on the Coventry/Draw double chance as that would have been my initial selection knowing little of Coventry's recent run. But with the Sky Blues having won just one on the road in seven and one in 10 in all competitions this looks best left well alone.

Verdict: Birmingham 1 Coventry 1 

Bolton v Wigan (1500)

Bolton are a best price of 7/10 for the win here and there will probably be worse odds-on shots this weekend. This will be a perfect chance to bounce back from their 4-0 home thrashing by Chelsea on Monday night with Owen Coyle admitting that all at the Reebok "are hurting" and that he wants to see "strength, character and mental courage". Coyle pinpointed some woeful defending that gifted Chelsea their goals as the final score suggested the visitors were far more dominant. Bolton have let things slip a little lately in general but taking out some frustration on Wigan in a local derby could be the ideal tonic. The latter are struggling even more at the moment than the Trotters with just one victory in seven coming in the last round of the Cup. One of those games was a gritty 1-1 draw at the Reebok Stadium earlier in the month but the belief looks to be draining out of Wigan rapidly and there have been calls for the head of Roberto Martinez. Bolton will quickly want to erase the memory of a night which was supposed to remember the great Nat Lofthouse and should make no mistake.

Verdict: Bolton 3 Wigan 1 

Burnley v Burton (1500)

Eddie Howe got his Burnley career off to the best possible start with victory over Portsmouth at Fratton Park in midweek and now you won't find too many punters willing to back the 8/1 about an upset occurring at Turf Moor. Burton might have accounted for Middlesbrough in the last round but they did so in bizarre circumstances, having weathered a bombardment from Tony Mowbray's men before Shaun Harrad popped up with a shock winner in the dying moments. It was a result that left Paul Peschisolido admitting he was slightly embarrassed but on the road against opposition of a slightly more ruthless nature, things ought to be much more straightforward. The Clarets disposed of Port Vale in routine fashion three weeks ago and that's a fair yardstick of the task awaiting them once again.

Verdict: Burnley 3 Burton 0 

Sheffield Wednesday v Hereford (1500)

An eye-catching 3-0 win at Bristol City in Round Three has been enough to keep the heat off Alan Irvine for most of January but the FA Cup might come back to bite him when resurgent Hereford visit Hillsborough on Saturday. It would have been virtually impossible to present a case for the Bulls a few weeks ago but a run of five consecutive victories have brought them this encouraging spectacle and we sense the occasion might be set up for Jamie Pitman's men to pull off a shock. Milan Mandaric has a canny record for getting sleeping giants back on their feet but he isn't renowned for his patience with managers and the pressure to impress appears to have been getting on top of Irvine and his players lately. The Owls haven't won in five league matches and were booed off after failing to overcome nine-man Yeovil in midweek, so anxiety will be rife and it could be the 1,500 visiting fans celebrating in a sparse crowd of around 12,000 come the final whistle.

Verdict: Sheffield Wednesday 1 Hereford 2

Stevenage v Reading (1500)

Stevenage caused arguably the biggest sensation on third-round weekend with victory over Newcastle and a repeat effort against Reading could bring further glory. Exposure is a standard problem for any lower-league side against opposition clued-up by events of the previous round and Brian McDermott's men will head to Broadhall Wayacutely aware of the dangers that lie in wait. However, some qualities are difficult to contain regardless of how much you legislate for them and while the Royals will no doubt try to outmanoeuvre their hosts with a slick passing game, they might be helpless if Borough use home advantage to dictate the tempo and impose their brute strength. Reading came up against League Two opposition twice in the Carling Cup earlier this season and were unable to get the better of either Torquay or Northampton over 90 minutes, eventually going out to the Cobblers on penalties, so the 12/5 about Stevenage looks a decent punt.

Verdict: Stevenage 1 Reading 0

Torquay v Crawley (1500)

A full house is expected at Plainmoor as arguably the two smallest clubs left in the competition go head to head for a place in the fifth round. Torquay have enjoyed plenty of knockout success in recent years with trips to Wembley for an FA Trophy final against Ebbsfleet in 2008 and the Conference play-offs when they won promotion against Cambridge in 2009, so the Gulls are quite accustomed to the big occasion and that experience could prove to be the difference. A slump in league means the cup is likely to be dominating the horizon for the Devon outfit right now, even though play-offs are still within sight, whereas Crawley's position at the top of the Blue Square Premier might actually work against them in terms of hunger. There's little value to be found from a betting perspective, but our instincts tell us the home side look a pretty safe bet.

Verdict: Torquay 2 Crawley 0

Watford v Brighton (1500)

This fourth-round clash at Vicarage Road might be short of marquee names but it's one that promises plenty of entertainment for the purists. Watford struggled for an hour against League One opposition in the last round but eventually made easy meat of Hartlepool, coming from a goal down to win 4-1, but the Seagulls promise a much stiffer test after taking care of Portsmouth at the Withdean. The visitors have a handy six point cushion at the top of League One with a game in hand, so they won't be viewing this in terms of a distraction and they will look to keep momentum going. Albion don't concede many and you suspect it will be the quality of their defending that holds the key to this clash but the Hornets are in fine fettle right now and an average of three goals per game over the last eight games suggests they possess enough firepower to see them through.

Verdict: Watford 2 Brighton 1

Southampton v Manchester United (1715)

Manchester United didn't have to get out of second gear to beat Liverpool in the third round but they will have to here against a Saints side that will be desperate for an upset. Very much in contention for promotion from League One, Nigel Adkins' team have lost just once in their last 14 home games and are sure to thrive on the FA Cup atmosphere. Sir Alex Ferguson is likely to ring the changes and I can't see a full-strength United taking to the pitch, especially at the back with Rafael (concussion) definitely out and Rio Ferdinand (groin) unlikely to play any part. With that in mind Southampton should have a great chance of getting on the scoresheet and we are drawn to the inflated first goalscorer odds of centre-half Jose Fonte. The Portuguese defender scored six goals in his time at Crystal Palace, has four this season for Saints and his 6ft 2in frame means he'salways a threat at set-pieces. United conceded twice from corners at Blackpool on Tuesday and though Saints don't have a Charlie Adam to whip in the flag kicks, their best chance to penetrate the Premier League leaders will be from set plays. Totesport offer 50/1 about him scoring first and they offer 1/3 odds each-way for the first 28 goals, which should mean 'unlimited' even if United run riot!

Verdict: Southampton 1 Man United 2 


Sunday


Arsenal v Huddersfield (1200GMT)

Arsenal are buoyed by success in the Carling Cup ahead of this match with a place in the final now secured. Expect a few changes from boss Arsene Wenger on Sunday with Sebastien Squillaci and Abou Diaby both back in the Gunners squad. Arsenal should have enough to reach the fifth round and Huddersfield skipper Peter Clarke isn't getting too carried away ahead of the trip to the Emirates Stadium as he admits that promotion from League One is the priority this season. "It (Arsenal) will be a nice day out for the fans and it will be great for the players to pit their wits against the best," he told the Yorkshire Evening Post this week. "All we can do is go there and perform to the best of our ability and see what happens." Not much value can be found by backing Arsenal for victory but some will be tempted by the 7/4 with Coral for Arsenal to win not to nil. However, two games without a goal for Huddersfield and a run of four clean sheets in five games for the Gunners is enough to put us off.

Verdict: Arsenal 3 Huddersfield 0

Wolves v Stoke (1300)

Stoke boss Tony Pulis isn't happy with the scheduling of this contest. He wanted the game to be played on Friday night because of upcoming contests against Liverpool on February 2 and Sunderland on February 5. No surprise then that he doesn't want to be at Molineux on Sunday and he toldthe Sentinel: "Everybody is saying we should take the FA Cup seriously, then they go and do this." Comments like that don't make it easy to back Stoke for victory but Wolves' struggles this season mean it is hard to get too excited by the best price of 7/5 for a home win. Mick McCarthy has pledged to select a "strong side" but a few changes are still expected and five home defeats in the league this season proves that Molineux isn't a fortress. Wolves start as favourites but we will swerve this match and move on to the next one.

Verdict: Wolves 1 Stoke 1

Notts County v Manchester City (1400)

Roberto Mancini takes Manchester City to face the club he turned down last season. Sven-Goran Eriksson tried to get Mancini to become Notts County manager but the Italian rejected the job and he will be pleased with that decision as City sit among the Premier League title contenders. Paul Ince is now the County boss and he led his side to a shock win at Sunderland in the third round. City will provide an even tougher task and it is hard to see the side who sit in the lower reaches of League One springing a surprise. One City player who should enjoy the trip to Meadow Lane is wingerAdam Johnson, who started and scored in the third-round replay win over Leicester. The England international has been in and out of Mancini's first XI in the Premier League recently so he will hope to take this chance to shine and is worth backing to score anytime at 13/5 with extrabet.

Verdict: Notts County 1 Manchester City 4

West Ham v Nottingham Forest (1400)

West Ham play this match on the back of Carling Cup semi-final woe and ahead of vital Premier League games against fellow strugglers Blackpool, Birmingham and West Brom. That means FA Cup progress won't be top of Avram Grant's list of priorities but he will be eager to avoid more doom and gloom so victory would be a welcome boost. Realism, however, will have to play a part for the Hammers chief and he simply can't afford to risk many of his top stars with such a massive run of fixtures coming up. West Ham dispatched Barnsley in the last round but Nottingham Forest, who are currently operating right at the heart of the Championship promotion race, represent a step up in class. Billy Davies' side have claimed seven wins and one draw from their last eight games and are bang in form. Davies insists that he wants to keep the winning habit and, even with a few changes to his starting line-up, Forest look the call at 11/4 with Coral and Ladbrokes to secure the spot in the draw for the fifth round.

Verdict: West Ham 1 Nottingham Forest 2

Fulham v Tottenham (1630)

Fulham v Tottenham concludes the weekend's FA Cup action and it will be interesting to see how Harry Redknapp approaches the game. The Spurs boss will be aware that the return of the Champions League is not too far away and the Premier League games keep on coming. However, this represents the White Hart Lane outfit's best chance of some silverware this season and Fulham deserve a bit of respect with their strong recent home record - three wins on the spin. They were slightly unlucky to lose at Liverpool in midweek and that leaves a Premier League relegation battle still at the centre of boss Mark Hughes' thoughts. He has already promised to take the FA Cup seriously this season but Newcastle visit Craven Cottage on Wednesday night and that is a really key game. Spurs are favourites to progress but it is tough to enter the win market with complete certainty so we will look to Steven Pienaar for success. The midfielder made his Spurs debut last weekend and is set to start again with Gareth Bale almost certainly ruled out. He is 11/2 with William Hill to score at anytime and that is worthy of a small interest as he searches for his first Tottenham goal.

Verdict: Fulham 1 Tottenham 2